PBA Career Path: 7 Steps to Become a Certified Professional Business Analyst
Contact USI

Can the Charlotte Hornets Make a Playoff Run This NBA Season?

2025-11-13 17:01

As I sit here watching the Charlotte Hornets' preseason games, I can't help but feel that familiar buzz of anticipation. The question on every fan's mind this season is whether our Hornets can finally break through and make a serious playoff run. Having followed this team for over a decade, I've seen promising seasons crumble and unexpected successes emerge from what seemed like certain failure. This year feels different though - there's a tangible energy around this squad that reminds me of those early 2000s teams that consistently punched above their weight.

I was recently reminded of something interesting while reading about basketball overseas. An NBA player was quoted discussing competition in the Philippine Basketball Association, saying "I'm a competitor, so playing against the best talent, obviously Rondae is probably – I said this a few years ago – one of the best imports the PBA has seen in a long time. So it's always fun to be playing against such a type of competition, such type of level of play." That mentality resonates deeply with what our Hornets need this season. That hunger to test yourself against the best - that's the DNA of playoff teams. Watching LaMelo Ball develop over these past few seasons, I see that same competitive fire. The kid just wants to compete against the elite, and frankly, he's getting there faster than most of us expected.

Let's talk numbers for a moment. Last season, the Hornets finished with a 43-39 record, just two games out of the sixth seed in what was an absolutely brutal Eastern Conference. What's encouraging is their home record - 27 wins at Spectrum Center, which ranked seventh in the conference. That home court advantage could be massive if they can sneak into that play-in tournament. The offensive rating improved from 112.3 to 115.8 last season, while the defensive rating saw a modest improvement to 113.2. Not elite defensively, but trending in the right direction.

The roster construction this year actually makes sense, which hasn't always been the case with this franchise, if I'm being completely honest. Miles Bridges coming back full-time adds that versatile wing scoring we desperately needed last season. Terry Rozier provides veteran stability, and Mark Williams developing into that defensive anchor in the paint gives them something they haven't had since... well, since Al Jefferson was bullying people in the post. I've always been higher on P.J. Washington than most analysts, and I think this could be his breakout season defensively.

Here's where I might ruffle some feathers - I don't think Gordon Hayward is the answer as a starter anymore. There, I said it. His efficiency numbers have dipped to 44.7% from the field last season, and his defensive rating of 115.3 was among the worst on the team. I'd much rather see Brandon Miller get those minutes earlier in the season. The kid has that competitive chip that reminds me of what that player said about PBA imports - he wants to test himself against the best every single night.

The Eastern Conference landscape is fascinating this year. Milwaukee got Dame, Boston added Porzingis, Philadelphia has the Harden situation... there's chaos at the top. Meanwhile, teams like Atlanta and Chicago seem stuck in mediocrity. That 6-8 seed range feels wide open, and honestly, I like Charlotte's chances to grab one of those spots more than I like Miami's or New York's, if we're talking pure roster talent and fit.

Health will be the ultimate factor, as it always is. LaMelo's ankle issues last season limited him to just 58 games, and when he was off the court, the offense looked completely lost. The advanced stats bear this out - the team's offensive rating dropped by 8.7 points when Ball sat. That's a staggering number that underscores how vital he is to everything they want to do. If he can stay healthy for 70+ games, I genuinely believe this team wins 48 games and secures the 5th or 6th seed.

The defensive improvements need to continue, obviously. Steve Clifford has them playing more disciplined basketball, but they still ranked 21st in defensive rebounding percentage last season. That's simply not good enough for a playoff team. Mark Williams needs to take another step forward, and the wing defenders have to be more consistent in their rotations. I've noticed they tend to overhelp on drives, leaving shooters wide open in the corners - opponents shot 38.2% from the corners against them last season, which ranked 25th in the league.

What gives me hope is the chemistry. You can see it in how they move the ball - 25.7 assists per game last season, which ranked 8th in the league. They play unselfish basketball, and in today's NBA, that matters more than ever. The ball doesn't stick, players make the extra pass, and they genuinely seem to enjoy playing together. That intangible factor can't be underestimated when predicting playoff success.

Looking at the schedule, the first 20 games will be crucial. They have a relatively manageable start with games against Indiana, Washington, and Portland in the first month. If they can come out 13-7 or better, it builds confidence and creates momentum. The December stretch will be telling though - Milwaukee, Boston, Philadelphia all in a two-week span. That's where we'll learn if this team has the mental toughness to compete with the elite.

At the end of the day, basketball comes down to players making plays in big moments. LaMelo has shown flashes of that clutch gene, but he needs help. Terry Rozier has hit big shots in playoff environments before, and Miles Bridges has that scorer's mentality that doesn't shrink in pressure situations. The pieces are there, the coaching is solid, and the East has enough question marks behind the top four teams. My prediction? 47-35, 6th seed, and a first-round matchup against Cleveland that I genuinely believe they can win in six games. This might finally be the season Charlotte basketball becomes must-watch television in April and May.